XRP价格持续下跌超12% 技术指标显示下行压力增大

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In the past 24 hours, XRP has faced significant selling pressure, with a decline exceeding 5%, and over the last seven days, the asset has dropped by more than 12%. The recent downturn has coincided with increasingly bearish technical indicators, such as a notable increase in trend strength and a substantial decrease in on-chain activity.

As price momentum weakens and user engagement diminishes, concerns are growing regarding XRP's capacity to maintain crucial support levels. Without a swift shift in sentiment, the path of least resistance seems likely to persist in a downward trajectory.

The Directional Movement Index (DMI) for XRP is currently displaying strong bearish signals, with the Average Directional Index (ADX) climbing to 47.14 from 25.43 just one day prior. The ADX gauges the intensity of a trend, irrespective of its direction, and readings above 25 typically signify that a trend is gaining momentum. A figure surpassing 40, as is the case with XRP’s current ADX, implies an exceptionally robust trend. Given that XRP is presently in a downtrend, this rising ADX indicates intensifying bearish momentum and a market heavily inclined toward further decreases.

Examining the DMI components more closely, the DI, which monitors upward price pressure, has plummeted sharply from 20.13 to 5.76. Conversely, the -DI, which tracks downward price pressure, has surged from 8.97 to 33.77. This dramatic divergence strengthens the bearish trend, showing that sellers are aggressively asserting control while buyer strength wanes.

With the ADX validating the potency of this movement and directional indicators heavily skewed toward the downside, XRP's price might remain under pressure in the near term unless there is a considerable shift in sentiment.

Over the previous week, XRP’s 7-day active addresses have experienced a sharp decline after reaching new all-time highs recently. On March 19, the metric reached a peak of 1.22 million, indicating robust network activity and user engagement. However, since then, it has plummeted to merely 331,000—a reduction of over 70%. This abrupt decline suggests that interest in transactions involving XRP has diminished considerably within a brief period.

Monitoring active addresses serves as a vital method to assess on-chain activity and the overall health of the network. An increasing number of active addresses usually reflects expanding user involvement, heightened demand, and possible investor interest—elements that can bolster price resilience. Conversely, a sharp decline like the one XRP is undergoing can signal weakening momentum and waning interest, which could add pressure to the price.

Unless user activity starts to recover, this dip in network engagement may continue to affect XRP’s short-term prospects negatively.

XRP’s Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines are currently signaling a robust downtrend, with the short-term EMAs positioned beneath the longer-term ones—a typical bearish configuration. This arrangement indicates that recent price momentum is weaker than the longer-term average, frequently observed during prolonged corrections. Should this downtrend persist, XRP could revisit the support level at $1.90.

A breach beneath that could pave the way for a more extensive decline toward $1.77 in April.

On the other hand, if market sentiment alters and XRP price reverses course, the initial critical level to observe is the resistance at $2.22. A successful breakout beyond this point might instigate renewed bullish momentum, possibly propelling the price upwards to $2.47.

If that level is also surpassed, XRP could advance further to test the $2.59 mark.

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