Bitcoin (BTC) entered April with a somewhat unstable position, caught between diminishing bearish momentum and increasing uncertainty leading up to Wednesday's highly anticipated \"Liberation Day\" tariff announcement. Technical indicators such as the Directional Movement Index (DMI), Ichimoku Cloud, and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines are presenting mixed signals, with initial signs of buyer strength beginning to emerge.

The market remains confined within a range, with both downside tests and breakout rallies possible depending on macroeconomic developments. With the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report due today and tariff clarity still pending, Bitcoin's next significant move might be imminent.

Bitcoin’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) is signaling potential indications of a momentum shift. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which gauges the intensity of a trend irrespective of its direction, has decreased to 28.59 from 40.38 the previous day. This suggests that the ongoing downtrend may be losing force.

Generally, an ADX reading above 25 signifies a robust trend, whereas values below that point to a weakening or sideways market. Although 28.59 still reflects moderate trend strength, the decline points towards diminishing momentum.

Simultaneously, the positive directional indicator ( DI) has surged to 23.75 from 9.35, while the negative directional indicator (-DI) has dropped to 17.88 from 34.58—indicating growing bullish pressure.

This crossover between the DI and -DI could hint at an early trend reversal, particularly if validated by further price movement and trading volume. Nevertheless, it's crucial to remember that Bitcoin is still within a larger downtrend for the time being.

Market participants are also monitoring today's JOLTS report, a critical gauge of U.S. job openings. A better-than-anticipated report might boost the dollar and exert pressure on cryptocurrency markets. Conversely, weaker data could enhance expectations of interest rate cuts, potentially benefiting Bitcoin and other risk assets.

With directional indicators shifting and macroeconomic data in play, Bitcoin's subsequent move could be significantly influenced by external factors. Recently, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink mentioned that Bitcoin might assume the role of the world reserve currency, taking over from the U.S. dollar.

Bitcoin’s Ichimoku Cloud chart exhibits a market still under bearish strain, despite recent signs of short-term recovery. The price is presently testing the Kijun-sen (red line), which serves as a vital resistance level.

While the Tenkan-sen (blue line) is starting to flatten and turn upwards—typically a sign of momentum change—the fact that the price remains beneath the Kumo (cloud) indicates that the overarching trend continues to be bearish.

The cloud ahead is red and descending, implying sustained downward pressure in the near future.

Nonetheless, the price has momentarily breached the cloud's lower boundary, showing a potential challenge to the bearish framework.

For a stronger trend reversal signal, Bitcoin would need to surpass the cloud and witness a bullish Kumo twist formation. Until then, the Ichimoku configuration suggests a cautious recovery at most.

Bitcoin’s EMA lines stay bearish. Its shorter-term averages are still beneath the longer-term ones, a sign that downward momentum persists.

This setup implies sellers retain control of the trend, and unless reversed, the Bitcoin price could revisit key support zones. Should the current downtrend accelerate, it might initially probe support around $81,169. If that level does not hold, further declines toward $79,069 or even $76,643 could ensue.

Nic Puckrin, a crypto analyst and founder of The Coin Bureau, informed BeInCrypto about the market's heightened uncertainty preceding the so-called \"Liberation Day\" tariffs. He noted that Bitcoin is equally poised for a sharp move in either direction. It might possibly dip to $73,000 or surge toward $88,000:

\"As Liberation Day approaches, the uncertainty surrounding the extent of the tariffs keeps Bitcoin and other risk assets in limbo. (...) Until there is more clarity regarding tariffs, this range-bound pattern will persist, but if we receive less severe news than anticipated or some form of concessions, we could see a breakout from the current trading pattern. If we do, $88,000 is the level to observe in the short term, but we would require a notable increase in volume for this to suggest an extended rally.\"

He argued that a tariff shock could prompt BTC to test levels around $73,000:

\"If there is a tariffs shock, conversely, we could see BTC breaking down toward $79,000 in the short term, or even further down to the next support level at $73,000 if extreme fear grips markets.\" – Nic told BeInCrypto.

Even so, if Bitcoin manages to reverse the trend and gain upward momentum, a climb toward resistance at $85,103 would be the initial target. Breaching above that could pave the way for higher levels at $87,489 and $88,855.

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