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Recent data provided by Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin's MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) has exceeded Ethereum's for 812 consecutive days. This suggests that, on average, Bitcoin investors have generated significantly greater profits compared to Ethereum investors since 2023.
Conversely, due to recent declines, Ethereum's MVRV has dropped below 1.0, implying that the typical Ethereum investor has incurred losses. Despite this, some analysts believe that Ethereum might currently be undervalued and well-positioned for a potential rebound, though such a recovery would likely require substantial time and favorable market conditions.
Currently, Bitcoin's price remains relatively stable despite recent market fluctuations. Although a considerable portion of Bitcoin's gains since the U.S. presidential election under Donald Trump have been erased, its value leading up to the election has remained close to its previous all-time high throughout 2024.
According to new Glassnode data, Bitcoin investors exhibit a higher level of profitability compared to Ethereum investors. Glassnode reached this conclusion by examining both cryptocurrencies' MVRV ratios and their respective market values to realized values. This metric assesses the difference between the listed prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum and the actual prices at which these assets were last traded.
Even though both assets maintained comparable MVRV levels for an extended duration, Bitcoin has demonstrated stronger performance in the present day:
Bitcoin has historically exhibited greater volatility than Ethereum; however, Ethereum has experienced a much smaller rise during bullish market phases. For example, during the most recent bull market from October to December 2024, Bitcoin surged by nearly 70%, whereas Ethereum's price increase during the same timeframe was less than 50%. In contrast, during the current market downturn, Bitcoin lost 3% in early April, while Ethereum experienced a decline exceeding 15%.
Additionally, the sentiment among Ethereum investors appears to be weakening. Long-term holders, or \"whales,\" who have held onto their Ethereum tokens for several years are now liquidating their positions. Furthermore, the average Bitcoin holder enjoys an MVRV of approximately 2.0, indicating significant unrealized gains. Conversely, the majority of Ethereum holders possess an MVRV below 1.0, signifying financial losses. These figures are particularly troubling for the typical Ethereum investor.
Nevertheless, there are positive indicators for Ethereum. Recently, the asset reached a yearly low, yet simultaneously, there has been a notable influx of new investors. Developments such as the SEC approving options trading for ETH ETFs could potentially catalyze a recovery.
To put it another way, Ethereum may currently be undervalued and thus presents an appealing investment opportunity.
Nonetheless, for the time being, Bitcoin investors are in a superior position relative to Ethereum investors. Ethereum remains the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and it has consistently demonstrated the ability to stage recoveries. This presents a formidable challenge for Bitcoin holders.
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