In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a notable surge of approximately 6% following former President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause for most countries, excluding China. This development appears to have sparked interest among buyers, yet technical indicators hint that the current upward movement might not be robust enough to sustain prolonged growth.

The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates increasing positive pressure; however, there is a discernible weakening in the overall trend. Concurrently, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) structure has not yet confirmed a full reversal, leaving open the possibility for additional gains or a potential pullback should momentum falter.

Examining the DMI chart closely, there is a distinct shift in momentum observable. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which assesses the intensity of a trend, has decreased from 29.56 three days prior to 19.48, signaling diminishing trend strength. Typically, an ADX reading exceeding 25 signifies a strong trend, either bullish or bearish, whereas readings below 20 imply the market is either consolidating or lacks a clear direction. With the ADX now below the 20 threshold, Bitcoin may be transitioning into a phase characterized by reduced volatility and indecision.

Further analysis of the components reveals that the Positive Directional Indicator ( DI) stands at 28.41, marking a significant rise from 20.84 the previous day following the tariff suspension announcement. This uptick in DI suggests heightened bullish pressure. Simultaneously, the Negative Directional Indicator (-DI) has declined to 17.89, down from 29 two days earlier, indicating waning bearish momentum.

Although the increase in DI appears promising, it has receded from a peak of 31.55 observed just hours ago, suggesting that the initial bullish response may be subsiding. Overall, despite indications of purchasing strength, the decline in ADX and the retreat in DI may signal that BTC lacks the resolve to maintain a breakout in the immediate future.

Bitcoin’s current Ichimoku Cloud configuration presents a mixed yet cautiously optimistic outlook. The price activity is positioned just above the red cloud (Kumo), indicating a recent bullish breakout. Nevertheless, this breakout lacks substantial confirmation, as the subsequent cloud remains flat and relatively narrow, reflecting weak momentum and potential resistance.

The Leading Span A (green line forming the upper boundary of the future cloud) exhibits a slight upward slope, but the absence of separation between it and the Leading Span B (red line forming the lower boundary of the cloud) suggests limited bullish vigor at present.

The Tenkan-sen (blue line) and Kijun-sen (red line) recently underwent a bullish crossover, with the Tenkan-sen ascending above the Kijun-sen—a favorable signal under conventional Ichimoku interpretation. Nonetheless, the flat trajectory of the Kijun-sen and the current price consolidation just above the cloud might denote that Bitcoin is entering a short-term equilibrium phase rather than gearing up for a robust continuation.

The Chikou Span (lagging green line) is now positioned above the price candles and the cloud, supporting a bullish inclination—but only if sustained follow-through occurs.

Overall, while the structure leans bullish, the thinness of the cloud and the lack of robust momentum warrant prudence until clearer signals emerge.

Regardless of Bitcoin’s recent upward trajectory, its EMA structure retains a bearish bias, with short-term exponential moving averages persistently below their long-term counterparts. This alignment usually signals ongoing downward pressure, even amid short-lived rallies.

However, should the prevailing momentum persist and a golden cross materialize—where shorter-term EMAs cross above the longer-term ones—it could signify a change in trend strength. Such a breakthrough might pave the way for testing resistance levels, with possible upside targets around $85,124. If breached, further advances could reach $88,839 and potentially $92,920.

Despite this, Bitcoin remained stable following the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which revealed a decrease in inflation last month.

On the contrary, analysts remain skeptical regarding whether the recent rebound constitutes merely a temporary relief rally. Should Bitcoin fail to validate a trend reversal, the price might retreat to test support near $79,955. A breach of this level could expose Bitcoin to a deeper correction toward $76,642. If macroeconomic uncertainty resurfaces—such as renewed tariff pressures from the Trump administration—it could intensify risk-off sentiment and drive BTC down to as low as $74,389.

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