In today's US Crypto News Morning Briefing, market participants are closely monitoring several key developments that could influence the trajectory of cryptocurrencies in the coming days. As investors grab their morning coffee, they are focusing on Dogecoin’s prospects for an ETF approval under the newly appointed SEC chair, the implications of the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain its current interest rate policy, and insights into the broader market dynamics provided by Warren Buffett’s investment stance, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Bitcoin’s recent capital flow trends.

On Wednesday, 21Shares announced a collaboration with the House of Doge, which received support from the Dogecoin Foundation for the launch of a new Dogecoin Exchange-Traded Product (ETP). This announcement coincides with the U.S. Senate's confirmation of Paul Atkins as the new SEC Chair, a move that has intensified discussions surrounding the possibility of a spot Dogecoin ETF. According to industry analyst Enmanuel Cardozo from Brickken, the emphasis of this initiative appears to be on aligning with existing market demand rather than solely evaluating technical qualifications. Cardozo noted that while there is growing momentum behind this proposal, it does not ensure final approval.

Paul Atkins' appointment to lead the SEC is seen as a significant development due to his reputation for fostering innovation, particularly within the realm of digital assets. However, Cardozo emphasized that the regulatory landscape remains unpredictable, and approvals are never guaranteed. Despite positive signals regarding regulatory advancements, macroeconomic factors continue to play a crucial role in shaping the short-term outlook for cryptocurrencies. Following President Trump's temporary suspension of tariffs and the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) recent hawkish tone, the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in May has dropped significantly to only 15%. Policymakers cited ongoing inflation risks, especially concerning tariffs on essential goods, as justification for maintaining current interest rates.

This news has tempered expectations for immediate monetary easing, exerting downward pressure on crypto markets through diminished liquidity projections and a strengthening U.S. dollar. Prediction markets currently estimate a 64% probability of the DOGE ETF receiving approval by 2025.

Market watchers are eagerly awaiting today’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a critical indicator of inflation that may sway crypto markets depending on whether consumer prices rise or fall. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway holds a record $334 billion in cash reserves after divesting stocks prior to the anticipated 2025 market downturn, yet remains cautious about investing in Bitcoin despite rising interest and ETF adoption.

President Trump’s temporary halt on tariffs sparked a market rally, pushing Bitcoin back above $80,000 temporarily. However, analysts warn that this might represent a short-lived rebound, often referred to as a 'dead cat bounce,' before another potential decline occurs.

Bitcoin spot ETFs recently experienced a five-day capital outflow totaling $127 million, suggesting waning investor confidence. Nevertheless, futures data still indicates lingering bullish sentiment among some participants.

Paul Atkins was officially confirmed as the SEC Chair via a 52-44 Senate vote, signaling a continuation of the rollback of crypto enforcement policies initiated during the Trump administration. Additionally, the SEC has authorized options trading on BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF, enhancing Ethereum’s credibility and liquidity. However, broader market attention remains focused on the ongoing tariff drama unfolding elsewhere.

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