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Today's US Crypto News Morning Briefing provides an overview of key developments shaping the cryptocurrency landscape, with a particular focus on Bitcoin (BTC). As investors prepare for the day ahead, many are keenly watching the cryptocurrency's price trajectory, especially as it approaches its all-time high (ATH) recorded on May 22, 2025. This ATH stood at $111,980, and speculation is rife about whether Bitcoin will soon surpass this milestone.
The current Bitcoin price is attempting to reclaim its ATH, buoyed by recent developments in US-China trade negotiations and a perceived détente between prominent figures such as President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. These events have reportedly contributed to a shift in investor sentiment, transitioning from fear to greed. Traders interpret these developments as signs of stability within a volatile market environment.
On-chain analysis conducted by CryptoDan, a community manager at CryptoQuant Korea, indicates that US investors are playing a pivotal role in propelling the rise in Bitcoin's price. Notably, the Coinbase premium—a metric that reflects the difference in Bitcoin prices between Coinbase and Binance—is increasing, while incremental whale buying activity is also being observed.
The Coinbase Premium Index serves as an indicator of buying interest from US-based investors. A positive value suggests strong buying pressure, which typically results in higher prices on Coinbase due to increased demand from American investors. Conversely, a negative value implies reduced trading activity on US exchanges. Thus, a positive Coinbase Premium Index is viewed as a bullish signal for Bitcoin, indicating stronger demand and potentially leading to upward price movements driven by institutional and retail traders alike.
Recent positive developments in US-China trade discussions and the apparent thawing of tensions between Musk and Trump appear to have rekindled purchasing interest among American investors, prompting them to resume accumulating Bitcoin. Analysts note that unlike during previous price surges, the current uptrend is occurring in a quieter market setting, offering opportunities for further gains without the typical signs of market overheating.
Additionally, the Kimchi Premium, which gauges the price difference of Bitcoin in South Korean markets, remains relatively low. This suggests that there might still be room for additional upward momentum in the near term, as the market isn't yet considered overly heated.
These observations align with recent reports from BeInCrypto, citing Markus Thielen from 10X Research, which suggest that a Bitcoin price breakout could be imminent. However, the report cautions that this breakout hinges on Bitcoin successfully navigating the supply zone between $109,242 and $111,774. Traders considering long positions in Bitcoin are advised to wait for a candlestick close above the mean threshold of $110,478, which represents the midpoint of the supply block.
Should this supply zone act as a resistance level, Bitcoin might experience a decline. However, only a candlestick close below $102,239 would invalidate the bullish thesis and indicate a bearish bias. Breaking this support level would denote a lower low for Bitcoin, signaling a potential trend reversal.
At the time of writing, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index stands at 0.034. For those following the broader scope of US crypto news, several other developments warrant attention.
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